NICE to beat nantes @ 4/5
nice are unbeaten in 6 home games so far this season with 3 wins and 3 draws.
they are unbeaten in their last 6 league games home away with 3 wins and 3 draws
nantes have lost 6 of 7 away league games so far, winning the other.
they have only scored 2 away goals in 7 games failing to score on 5 occassions and have conceded 13 goals in total
they havent won in their last 4 league games with 2 draws and 2 losses
considering the form a home win looks on the cards
nice to win by 1 goal @ 3.30 looks good (5 of nice 6 league wins so far have been by 1 goal)
GRONINGEN to beat de graafschap by 2 or more goals @ 4/5
groningen have a 100% home record with 5 wins from 5 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those 5 games only conceding 1 goal at home so far and scoring a massive 16 goals!
de graafschap are one place off the bottom of the league and have lost 4 of 5 away games drawing the other, they have only scored 2 away goals and conceded 12 in total, they are in awful form losing 6 of their last 7 league games drawing the other
de graafschap g/d away is -10 and groningen home g/d is +15 which is a massive 25 goal difference
de graafschap have lost 7 league games so far and all 7 were by 2 or more goals
groningen have won 6 league games with all 6 being by 2 or more goals and 4 of those 6 by 3 or more goals
so between groningens 6 wins and de graafschap 7 losses all 13 games have had a winning scoreline of 2 or more goals
with groningen only conceding 1 goal all season at home and de graafschap only scoring 2 away all season it should be a comfortable home win
DOUBLE PAYS 9/4
looking for a bigger return you could add........
milan to beat chievo and udinese to beat reggina
4fold pays 9/2
still looking for a bigger return you could AZ alkmar to beat vittesse
5fold pays just under 9/1
nice to beat nantes by 1 goal @ 3.30
siena to beat bologna by 1 goal @ 3.40
udinese to beat reggina by 1 goal @ 3.30
villareal to beat malaga by 1 goal @ 3.60
espanyol to beat numancia by 1 goal @ 3.20
barcelona to beat recreotivo by 1 goal @ 3.30
15 x £1 4folds
6 x £1 5folds
1 x £1 6fold
any 4 pays minimum £114
any 5 pays minimum £1000
all 6 pays just under £6000 for £22 bet
.................................................. .................................................. ................................
udinese to beat reggina by 1 goal @ 3.30
milan to beat chievo by 1 goal @ 3.40
barcelona to beat recreotivo by 1 goal @ 3.30
groningen to beat de graafschap by 1 goal @ 3.75
celtic to beat hamilton by 1 goal @ 3.75
nice ot beat nantes by 1 goal @ 3.30
15 x £1 4folds
6 x £1 5folds
1 x £1 6fold
now the above 6 should all win their matches on sunday and i would say 5 of the 6 definately will
all 6 to win pays an awful 6.19 and £22 on these 6 would return £136
whereas if all 6 win by just a goal i get over £8000, which is a massive difference. even 5 of the 6 will pay nearly £1500
plus if i take all 6 and stake £22 if one doesnt win i lose the £22, whereas 2 of the 6 can lose as long as the other 4 win by 1 goal and still get at least 5.5 times my original stake back
for few examples from the last week or so
man utd 1.25 to beat qpr and 3.75 to win by 1 goal (they won 1-0)
rangers 1.16 to beat st mirren and 4.00 to win by 1 goal (they won 2-1)
£1 on rangers to win by 1 goal would give you £3.00 profit, whereas you would need to back rangers 19 times @ 1.16 before you made £3.00 profit
think its obvious where the better bet is
doing the above double is 14/1 one would give you £14 profit from £1 bet
backing the 2 of them just to win you would need them to both win 31 times before you made £14 profit
rangers and celtic are not the best teams around to do it with as the SPL is piss poor and they normally win by a good few goals
but in a tight league like the premiership there is good value to be had from backing short priced favs just to win by 1 goal
midweek i had man utd to beat qpr by 1, leicester to beat yeovil by 1 and chelsea to beat burnley by 1, this treble paid 47/1
(man utd, chelsea and leicester paid 2.17)
now the bet lost after man utd and leicester both won 1-0 and chelsea drew 1-1
now i dont mind the bet lost as i was getting 47/1 which is far superior to a touch over even money
now if chelsea were to win then it would only have been by 1 goal, if burnley dont score they win 1-0 and if they score the sitter they missed near the end they win 2-1
im hoping one day it all comes together and clicks and get the big payout for a small stake
its not really that hard if you can find the right games, u just have to find winning teams and let the goal margin take care of itself
saturday.........birmingam, wolves, burnley, cardiff, p,boro, hearts and rangers were all strongly fancied to win their games today and all did by a single goal
38 wins today between 4 english leagues and spl and of those 38 wins 21 were by 1 goal
time to stop rambling on now i think
